A Ceasefire with Hezbollah Occupying Metula? Only the Tip of the Iceberg - by Dr. Aaron Lerner

...If these coming days Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu manages to exploit the discovery of the Hezbollah tunnels for the bloodless cessation of the missile upgrade program now underway in Lebanon that's an historic achievement. But that may not happen.

Dr. Aaron Lerner..
IMRA Weekly Commentary..
06 December '18..
Link: http://www.imra.org.il/story.php3?id=73409

Apparently Hezbollah was preparing a reasonably workable operation which would have made it possible (under certain international conditions - most out of Israel's control) for them to block off and occupy Metula long enough for a ceasefire to be declared before Israel liberated it.

Now that's a bargaining chip.

So much for the rusting Israeli "conceptzia" that viewed a Hezbollah invasion as nothing more than a suicidal flag-planting photo op.

We are acting today against the tunnels.

And while the invasion tunnels from Lebanon into Israel are most certainly important, Hezbollah's race to upgrade its missiles with guidance kits is of magnitudes greater importance.

If these coming days Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu manages to exploit the discovery of the Hezbollah tunnels for the bloodless cessation of the missile upgrade program now underway in Lebanon that's an historic achievement.

But that may not happen.


To be clear: upgrading missiles with guidance kits doesn't require huge facilities with massive staffs.

The kits themselves are small enough and light enough that they can be flown into Beirut from Teheran.

And while the IDF continues to bomb inside Syria, Lebanon remains off limits to overt operations such as IAF attacks.

Time is not on our side.

God forbid we end up finding ourselves being pitched the argument that thousands of Hezbollah guided missile are inconsequential as Hezbollah is deterred from launching them at the Jewish State.

________________________________________
IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis: Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on
Arab-Israeli relations
Website: www.imra.org.il

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