Tuesday, May 24, 2011

Palestinian Politics Is About to Make a Transition For the Worse; Bad Time to Push for Peacemaking

Barry Rubin
The Rubin Report
24 May '11

http://rubinreports.blogspot.com/2011/05/palestinian-politics-is-about-to-make.html

Palestinian Authority "president" Mahmoud Abbas is retiring and has called on Fatah to choose a replacement. Wonder who they'll pick? Watch this space. I think I know and he makes Amr Moussa look like Megan McCain.

Meanwhile, Prime Minister Salam Fayyad has suffered a heart attack. The Fatah leadership wants to get rid of him and is only held back by concern over the donors giving money. His days, too, are numbered.

President Obama's argument is that Israel should make peace as fast as possible. But of course since the two "moderate" leaders aren't going to be around very long, why make concessions to be pocketed by their successors who won't implement these commitments and will definitely add even more demands.

Obama's argument is that Israel is becoming delegitimized because there isn't a peace agreement. But delegitimization by some is better than a very dangerous strategic situation. Moreover, it isn't clear that more Israeli concessions and risks will reverse delegitimization. Experience has shown the opposite.

Obama's second argument is that the strategic situation will get worse if Israel doesn't make concessions, etc. In fact, precisely because the situation is getting worse means Israel doesn't want to face a hostile Egyptian and Lebanese government, a stronger Iran, a less reliable America, etc., from a worse strategic situation. And that's what will happen if Israel does what Obama wants.

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1 comment:

  1. Ken Besig, IsraelMay 24, 2011 at 4:56 PM

    Barack Obama has an obsession with Israel, probably because he was raised as a Muslim who sees Israel as the Original Western Sin against Islam, and as a Left wing American who views Israel as largely negative and responsible for Muslim hatred of America.
    Thus Obama misses no chance to exercise his anti Semitism and his hostility towards the Jewish State of Israel and even makes up chances to hammer Israel.
    For any reasonable person, the turmoil in the Arab Moslem Middle Eastern countries is due to internal tensions and the violent, primitive, and intellectually deprived cultures these countries enjoy.
    But Obama, instead of addressing these pertinent issues, attacks Israel and makes unfair, unreasonable, and even potentially dangerous demands on the Jewish State to deal with Arab Muslim problems.
    This is because Obama views the problems of the Middle East, the Arab countries, and even Islam through the prism of an oppressive, aggressive, and greed driven Israel and by extension, a capitalistic and selfish Jewish People.
    I would point out that this is exactly what the Nazis did, they blamed the Jews for everything from crop failures to potholes to causing world wars. In fact Hermann Goering was reputed to have said that in the Nazi rise to power that the Nazis should blame the Jews for EVERYTHING, and that is what they did.
    So does Obama.

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