Israel, Lebanon And Deterrence

Eamonn McDonagh
Z-Word Blog
04 August '10
Posted before Shabbat

Now that UNIFIL has substantially endorsed Israel’s account of yesterday’s fatal shooting on its border, a couple of thoughts…

1.

The fact that the slaying of Dov Harari was not accompanied by salvos of Hezbollah rockets landing in Israel nor quickly followed by F16s bombing Lebanon in response may be attributable, among other things, to the Dahiya doctrine; Israel’s stated intention to use disproportionate force (perhaps I should say “really very disproportionate force indeed”, as many commentators regard any level of force used by Israel to be disproportionate) against civilian infrastructure being used to attack it should Hezbollah decide to go to war against Israel again. The next time around there’ll be no half-cocked escalation with ill-prepared infantry blundering around in the villages of south Lebanon like there was in 2006 and this knowledge appears to have had a certain sobering effecting on Nasrallah.

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