IMRA Weekly Commentary..
25 November 2016..
Ever since the Israeli electorate rejected Oslo at the ballot box over 20 years ago Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu's engaged in verbal and mental gymnastics to placate foreign leaders who adamantly insist that he pledge allegiance to the "two state solution".
Its been confusing. but we might not have had a choice.
With the election of Trump there is an opportunity to get out of the rut.
I recommend we level with Trump
#1. Fundamental problem with sovereign Palestinian state – not conditional
There are all sorts of ostensibly well intentioned people with various schemes of arrangements and guarantees that they claim would make it possible to create a sovereign independent Palestinian state in our bedroom.
But we must never forget this simple truth: the moment that that sovereign independent Palestinian state is actually formed in our bedroom, its sovereignty and independence is essentially unconditional.
They can rip the arrangements and guarantees they signed to shreds and they will still be a sovereign independent Palestinian state.
#2. Fundamental problem with almost sovereign Palestinian state - extraneous developments.
There's countless scenarios that may lead to a large hyper autonomous Palestinian state that shares a border with Jordan becoming a sovereign independent state.
#3. Where we CAN go
Prime Minister Sharon’s retreat from the Gaza Strip was indeed a colossal mistake. But it’s a fact. And its created an opportunity by defusing the “demographic bomb”. With the Gazans out of the equation we enjoy the unprecedented advantage that we can retain a substantial Jewish majority for the foreseeable future even if we choose to annex all of Judea and Samaria.
Paradoxically, the more comprehensive our annexation the less the opposition we will ultimately face. After all, many of the Palestinian leaders themselves have said that we Israelis have to choose between allowing them to be citizens of our state or citizens of a Palestinians state. How would the Palestinians react to annexation? They might march in the streets – but they would celebrate in their homes.
- First round of annexation includes the Jordan Valley and Jericho to land lock whatever is left to potentially be a Palestinian state.
- Work and travel access into Israel for all Palestinians not in annexed areas (with the exception of specific individuals denied access by the security authorities) .
- Freight rail line from Ashdod Port to terminal at Erez Crossing (the railroad already has right of way for the tracks) to give a jump start for Gaza by slashing the costs of importing and exporting from the Strip (integrated with a terminal inside Israel to slash the costs of moving freight between the Gaza Strip and Judea & Samaria as well as Jordan).
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